The 2020 Presidential Election of the United States is scheduled for 3rd November 2020. It will be the 59th quadrennial (recurring every four years) presidential election in the U.S. Voters or in other words supporters will select presidential electors (a body of electors to elect the president and vice president of the United States) who in turn on 14th December 2020. The series of presidential primary elections & caucuses arranged to held during the 2020’s first six months. However, this process of nominating is an indirect election, where voters cast votes selecting a slate of delegates to a nominating convention of a political party, after that, they elect their nominees for president and vice president of their party.
Donald John Trump, the 45th and current president of the United States, launched his re-election campaign for Republican primaries while many state Republican Party organizations cancelled their primaries to show their support for their candidacy. Around twenty-nine main candidates started their campaigns for the Democratic nomination, that became the largest platform of candidates for any political party in the post-reform duration of the United States politics. The conqueror of the 2020 U.S. presidential election scheduled to inaugurate on 20th January 2021.
Impeachment of Donald Trump
Meanwhile, it is the first time since the latest primaries established in 1911 that an active president subjected to impeachment at the same time when the primary season is ongoing. On 31st October 2019, the House of Representatives voted measures leading public hearings about a likely impeachment if President Donald Trump. These hearings started in mid-November 2019. Afterward House voted to impeach Trump on 18th December.
A Senate trial held in early 2020 might affect those senators running for the presidential nomination of the Democrats since they would be asked to be there in the trial instead of stumping on the trail of the campaign. The Democratic National Committee allowed to reorganizing any debates of Democrats should conflicts occur.
A vote of Senate to remove Trump from the seat of president would also happen in the middle of the Republican primaries with Donald Trump already on the ballot whereas the second vote of Senate would need to totally ban him from contesting 2020 election or in the future from holding any other federal office.
Demographic trends of the United States
The age group of eighteen to forty-five-year-old bracket likely to represent just under forty percent of the eligible voters of the United States in 2020. Moreover, it is an expectation that over thirty percent of eligible U.S. voters will be dark. A report of bipartisan specifies that changes in voter demographics since the election of 2016 might impact the 2020 election’s result.
Asians, African Americans, Hispanics as well as other ethnic minorities along with whites with a college degree likely to all increase their ratio of nationally qualified voters by 2020 elections. On the other side, whites without a college degree will decrease. This shift is possibly an advantage for the nominee of the Democrats; whereas, due to the differences at geographical level, could still lead to Donald Trump or a different Republican nominee winning the Electoral College (a body of electors established by U.S. Constitution) despite the fact still losing the famous vote, maybe by an even greater margin than in 2016.
Simultaneous 2020 U.S. Elections
The 2020 presidential election of the United States will occur at the same time with elections to the Senate and the House of Representatives. Furthermore, legislative and gubernatorial elections will also be held in different states of the U.S. After the election, the House of the United States will restructure the seats among the fifty states based on the results of the 2020 U.S. Census (24th United States Census), and the states than conduct a redistricting of state legislative and congressional districts.
In most of the states, the state legislature and the governor conduct the redistricting (even though some of the states have redistricting commissions), and usually, a party that wins election experiences a coattail effect or down-ballot effect, that also helps other candidates of that party to win elections. So, the party that wins the presidential election 2020 might also win an important gain in the drawing of state legislative and Congressional districts that might stay in effect until the presidential elections of 2032.
Nominations of Republican Party for 2020 Elections
Donald Trump is looking for re-election. Re-election campaign of Trump is ongoing since his win in 2016 elections, leading experts to describe his approach of holding rallies and meetings during his presidency as a continuing campaign. On late 20th January, he submitted a letter as a FEC Form 2 substitute, through which he reached the legal limit for filing, conforming with the Federal Election Campaign Act of 1971 (FECA).
Declared Major Candidates of Republican Party
Following are the major declared candidates from 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries.
Name | Age | Experience | Home State |
---|---|---|---|
Donald John Trump |
14th June 1946 (age 73) Queens, New York, U.S. |
Current President of the United States (since 2017) Businessman, real estate developer, television personality |
Florida, United States |
Roque “Rocky” De La Fuente Guerra |
10th October 1954 (age 65) |
Businessman and real estate developer Reform nominee for President in Perennial candidate of 2016 |
California, United States |
William Joseph Walsh |
27th December 1961 (age 58) North Barrington, Illinois |
United States representative from IL-08 (2011-2013) Conservative talk radio host |
Illinois, United States |
William Floyd Weld |
31st July 1945 (age 74) Smithtown, New York |
Governor of Massachusetts (1991-1997) Libertarian nominee for 2016 Vice President Nominee for the United States Senate from Massachusetts in 1996 |
Massachusetts, United States |
Nominations of Democratic Party
After the defeat of Hillary Clinton in 2016 election, the Democratic Party mainly seen as leaderless and split between the more progressive Sanders wing and the centrist Clinton wing of the party, echoing the gap carried in the 2016 primary election. This division between the progressive and establishment wings of the party also reflects in many other elections leading up to the primaries of 2020, especially in the 2017 Democratic National Committee chairmanship election between progressive-backed Keith Ellison and moderate-backed Tom Perez. At that time Perez elected as chairman while Ellison appointed as the deputy chair, a major ceremonial role.
The primary field of 2020 shattered the record for the main field under the latest presidential primary system formerly set in GOP primary of 2016, that contained seventeen major candidates. Moreover, many female candidates also entered the race of presidential elections, increasing the possibility of the Democrats nominating a female candidate for the second time in a row. The matter of age brought up between the three candidates mainly considered to be the prime candidate: former Vice President Joe Biden, senator of Massachusetts Elizabeth Warren and senator of Vermont Bernie Sanders, who will be ages of 78, 71 and 79 respectively on the day of inauguration.
Harry Reid, the former Minority Leader of Senate, defined the trio as the home of old folk, expressing a need for new faces to bring up and lead the party.
Declared Major Candidates of Democratic Party
There are twelve main candidates of Democratic Party running active campaigns as of 13th January 2020. Here you can see some details of only five candidates.
Name | Age | Experience | Home State |
---|---|---|---|
Michael Farrand Bennet |
28th November 1964 (age 55) New Delhi, India |
United States senator from Colorado (since 2009) | Colorado, United States |
Joseph Robinette Biden Jr. |
20th November 1942 (age 77) Scranton, Pennsylvania |
Vice President of the U.S. (2009-2017) United States Senator from Delaware (1973-2009) Candidate for President in 1988 and 2008 elections |
Delaware, United States |
Michael Rubens Bloomberg |
14th February 1942 (age 77) Boston, Massachusetts |
Mayor of New York City, New York (2002-2013) CEO of Bloomberg L.P. |
New York, United States |
Elizabeth Ann Warren |
22nd June 1949 (age 70) Oklahoma City, Oklahoma |
United States senator from Massachusetts (since 2013) Special Advisor for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (2010-2011) |
Massachusetts, United States |
Pete Paul Montgomery Buttigieg |
19th January 1982 (age 38)South Bend, Indiana |
Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012-2020) | Indiana, United States |