With more than six months to go until the United States 2020 November general elections, new voting in the key states that will finalize the presidential race gives Joe Biden, the Democratic challenger the upper hand over President Donald Trump. However, looks may be deceiving. The presumptive Democratic nominee and the former vice president took eight-point leads over the 2020 Republican presidential candidate in the White House in new Fox News polling in Pennsylvania and Michigan.
These two states, as well as Wisconsin – were part of the quarter-century-old blue wall that the president painted red 4 years ago, helping him upset in the Democratic nominee of 2016 Hillary Clinton to win the White House. Moreover, Joe Biden also grasps a short single-digit edge over Trump in new surveys by Quinnipiac University in Florida and Fox News, the major fighting zone state in the presidential election.
Barack Obama, the former President of the United States, hardly took the Sunshine State in the 2018 and 2012 elections. On the other hand, Trump edged Hilary Clinton by 1.2% to win the twenty-nine electoral votes if the state four years ago. Joe Biden investigator John Anzalone captured to Twitter on Friday morning to top the polls of Florida.
.@FoxNews poll shows @JoeBiden leading Trump in the critical battleground state of Florida by a 46% to 43% margin mimicking yesterday’s @QuinnipiacPoll poll showing a 46% to 42% Biden lead in Florida. Biden is the only one injecting sunshine into this race https://t.co/uMcW8hB54e pic.twitter.com/S2CS8MfVZa
— John Anzalone (@JohnAnzo) April 24, 2020
2016 Comparison of Hillary and Trump
Go back four years in 2016, and almost all the surveys at that time in the election cycle in several of those key U.S. states indicate Hilary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump – some by even more. Hilary was ahead of Trump by ten points in Michigan in the survey of Real Clear Politics average in 2016, and by around five points in Florida. The average lead of Biden in those states today is about 5.5 points and 3.2 points, respectively.
Previously, Clinton led Donald Trump in nearly all Michigan poll from the spring right up to the eve of the election of November. Furthermore, she led Trump by about 3.6 points in the final average of Real Clear Politics in the state. Similarly, the same story repeated in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, where Clinton led Trump by 6.5% in the final average of Real Clear Politics.Therefore, these surveys may deceive in the November general elections as they are not the guarantee of victory in the final race.